The Andhra Pradesh Assembly requires a minimum of 88 seats for a majority out of its 175. Presently, there's no prevailing wave in Andhra, but rather a competitive scenario between YCP and TDP varying by candidate choices.
The election agenda has centered solely on the Telugu Desam Party's portrayal of Jagan as undesirable, overshadowing other issues. This personal feud has transformed the opposition's campaign into a contest against Jagan rather than anything else.
YCP holds a significant advantage in Rayalaseema districts. There are more than 50 seats in this region. If YCP secures over 40 seats here, then it is inevitable for YCP to see overall victory in the state.
There was traction for TDP-Jana Sena alliance until Jagan started his campaign. Once he started, the tables turned. Now it's also evident that Jagan's popularity remains strong even in Coastal and Godavari districts where Jana Sena is expected to have strong hold.
YCP's expanding influence in villages and adept poll management by welcoming the disappointed low level leaders from TDP and Jana Sena have diminished anti-YCP sentiments.
It should be underlined that the poll management happens with low level leaders but not with the popular ones who appear in media channels.
As the election nears, Alliance-media's focus remains on Jagan. Unless this narrative shifts, Jagan is poised to secure the necessary 88 seats comfortably.
We need to see if there would be any change in the approach of Alliance that proves advantageous for its victory.