This is an analysis of two different scenarios following the 2024 elections.
Pawan Kalyan, who founded Janasena nearly a decade ago, had dedicated supporters known as Janasaniks and Veera Mahilas. The question now is whether all the original flag bearers of the party are still loyal to Janasena. Have some of the old members left, and have new ones joined? Is there a blend of newcomers and veterans in the party?
Even Pawan Kalyan himself may not have the answers, as he seems not that connected to his own party members.
Now, let's examine the fate of Janasainiks. They have remained faithful to the party but have yet to reap significant rewards. They are now approaching another crucial milestone – the 2024 election, in alliance with the TDP. Let's consider what might happen if this alliance either wins or loses.
Scenario-1:
In the event of an electoral defeat of the TDP-Janasena alliance, the Janasaniks would be disheartened. They may not find the motivation to wave the same flag for another five years. Additionally, Pawan Kalyan may face harsh treatment from YSRCP. Jagan Mohan Reddy could potentially respond strongly to the comments Pawan Kalyan made against him, possibly engaging in personal retaliation by causing trouble for him professionally (probably, creating troubles for his films' reelase in AP). Obviously, Janasaniks may find themselves abandoned by both the ruling party and Pawan Kalyan.
Scenario-2:
On the other hand, if the alliance wins and CBN becomes Chief Minister, the situation for Janasaniks could be even worse than in the first scenario. CBN is known for his opportunistic politics, and he might ignore Pawan Kalyan without hesitation. CBN has a history of betraying his own family members and colleagues in pursuit of power.
It's worth noting that during the period of betrayal, CBN appointed the rebel Harikrishna as the Minister of Transportation, even though he was not a Member of the Legislative Assembly (MLA) at the time. However, Harikrishna did contest and win an MLA seat within six months. Surprisingly, once Harikrishna became an MLA, CBN promptly removed him from his ministerial position, confining him to the role of an MLA.
He once promised to make Daggubati Venkateswara Rao Deputy Chief Minister but did not follow through.
He tends to hinder the growth of potential people within his party, reflecting his insecurity.
Given CBN's track record, it's dangerous for Pawan Kalyan to place his trust in such an opportunistic politician.
Therefore, in either case – victory or defeat in the upcoming election – the future looks bleak for Janasaniks. It's unfortunate but true!